Exit JSW Steel at CMP Rs.618. Exit SBI at Rs.2096.
Wednesday, 30 May 2012
Tuesday, 29 May 2012
Market Update for 30/05/2012
Nifty Hourly Chart
Today's trading session was quite and choppy trading session. There was some stock specific movements. SBI and JSW Steel were one of the top gainers. I am glad that it was recommended at lower level. We are still holding it as more upside can be expected.
Coming back to Nifty hourly chart, the trend of Nifty is still up and 5037 should be achieved easily. Next target will be 5075 which is 200 DMA. If Nifty takes a dip because of profit booking or any other reason we may see the level of 4955 which was previous resistance. So short position can be considered only below 4955 or if someone wants to take a low risk entry short can be considered at 5075. Closing above 200 DMA that is 5075 should be the stop loss for short.
Nifty is overbought in hourly chart, however it can be in overbought region some more time in a trending market.
Tata Motors Result Highlights
* Net profit for the quarter is Rs.6250 crores vs Rs. 2620 crores.
*Consolidated revenue increased to Rs.50,900 vs Rs.35300 crores up by 44%.
*200% dividend which is Rs.4 was declared.
*Operating profit margin is 14.60% vs 9.60%
*For the entire 2011-12 financial year, Tata Motors consolidated net profit went
up by 45.75 percent to Rs 13,516.50 crore from Rs 9,273.62 crore in the previous
fiscal.
*The consolidated net income in FY'12 stood at Rs 1,65,654.49 crore compared to
Rs 1,22,127.92 crore in FY'11, up 35.64 percent.
*Tata Motors had sold a total of 9,26,353 units of passenger and commercial
vehicles during 2011-12, registering a rise of 10.7 percent over the previous
fiscal
*Tata Sons Deputy Chairman Cyrus P Mistry was inducted to the Tata Motors board
as a Director.
Technically Tata motors had breached the descending trend line and made a high of Rs.283.10. But the breakout in hourly chart was not sustained for long and the stock price closed below the trend line at Rs. 275.75.
The results of Tata Motors is above estimates but we need to see how the market reacts. Tomorrow if it opens above Rs.285 then we can notice major upside rally in the stock price. Closing above Rs.277.50 will indicate a major reversal in the trend. Trailing stop loss will be updated periodically.
At the same time if it opens below Rs.267 then that will be the indication of downtrend. Wait for 10-15 mins after opening before taking any decision.
Open Positions
| Scrip | Type | Qty | Buy Price | CMP | P/L |
| SBI | Long | 10 | 1907 | 2120 | 2130 |
| Axis Bank | Long | 46 | 988 | 1024 | 1656 |
| JSW Steel | Long | 80 | 610 | 621.75 | 940 |
| Nifty 5000 June CE | Long | 100 | 102.65 | 110 | 800 |
| Nifty 4900 June PE | Long | 50 | 98.5 | 93 | -250 |
* Trailing Stop loss for SBI 2040, Axis Bank Rs.999, JSW Steel Rs.597.00. Expected short term target for Nifty 5075.
Results
Colgate, DLF,GAIL,Financial Tech,HDIL,Havells, JP Associates, Tata chem, Godrej Ind, RCF and others.
Thought for the day
How to become a successful trader ?
Know more than others but expect less than others.
Market Update for 29/05/2012
Nifty Hourly Chart
Nifty was trading in a range of 4955-4800 from many trading sessions. In the last trading session Nifty has breached the resistance at 4955 and closed at 4985. The importance of this breakout is high and we can expect more momentum in the market. Now Nifty is expected to reach the levels of 5030-5100 in few trading sessions.
Nifty Daily Chart
There are multiple buy signals in daily chart of nifty.
MACD has given a buy signal.
RSI is above 30 and increasing
Parabolic SAR has given buy indication and SL is 4800.
Nifty has come out of the trading range 4800-4950.
Nifty has closed above 20DMA which is at 4882.
So the general trend of the market is up and as long as 4800 holds this correction from 5600 can be considered as a correction in bull market. So do not short Index or individual stocks. As per fibonacci retracement next levels to watch will be 5108,5207. We also need to consider 200 DMA which is at 5075.
Banks have been an out performer from few years and they will continue to outperform. So keep an eye on SBI,ICICI Bank, AXIS Bank and YES Bank in Banking space. Traders can also consider BHEL, LT and TATA MOTORS. Cairn and Bombay Dyeing also has potential to move up further.
Please trade with stop loss.
Results
HPCL,ABG Shipyard, LITL,Aurobindo Pharma, Sun Pharma, SAIL and others
Open Position
| Scrip | Type | Qty | Buy Price | CMP | P/L |
| SBI | Long | 10 | 1907 | 2101 | 1940 |
| Axis Bank | Long | 46 | 988 | 1029 | 1640 |
| JSW Steel | Long | 80 | 610 | 608.5 | -120 |
| Nifty 5000 June CE | Long | 100 | 102.65 | 116.6 | 1395 |
| Nifty 4900 June PE | Long | 50 | 98.5 | 89.3 | -460 |
Intraday Trades
| Scrip | Type | Qty | Buy Price | Sell Price | P/L |
| JSW Steel | Buy | 80 | 610 | ||
| Axis Bank | Sell | 40 | 1019 | 1240 | |
| Nifty 5000 PE | Buy | 100 | 83 | 65 | -1800 |
| Nifty 5000 June CE | Buy | 100 | 102.65 | ||
| Nifty 4900 June PE | Buy | 50 | 98.5 |
Thought for the day
Traders who fail to set a goal may live for the thrill associated with wining big but will likely to experience the pain of defeat more often.
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