Monday, 3 September 2012




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Sunday, 2 September 2012

 

Market updates for 03/09/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 
 
 
On daily chart of Nifty 5350 is acting as a major support. The extension of falling trend line , which is drawn by joining 5630-5350 , is at 5250. It is a situation where the prior resistance will act as support which commonly happens in chart. Also, 50 DMA is around 5350 which is another major support. As it is explained in previous post Nifty will get lot of support between 5250-5200. MACD is still indicating downtrend but still long position can be executed around 5200-5250 levels and short can be considered around 5350.

 

Nifty weekly chart

 
 
 
After reaching a peak 5448 level Nifty has declined to 5250. So in medium term 5250-5440 will act as trading range .
 
What to expect in this week?
 
We may witness a bounce back to 5350-5400. As RSI is in overbought region it may not be possible for Nifty to breach 5440. So the expected dead cat bounce till 5350 may face to selling pressure and Nifty may once again fall into the territory of 5200-5350. As Nifty is expected to consolidate with in a range of 150-200 points option buyers should be cautious.

 

Chart of the day

 

Reliance Industries

 
 
 Reliance Ind had a major rally from Rs.720-820 within 3 weeks and now honey moon seems to be over. Reliance made a breakout from a major resistance and weekly closing was at Rs.817. But this trend line breakout couldn't sustain for long and now it has closed below the trend line. As long as Reliance is below Rs.785 the bias will remain negative and the potential targets in medium term are Rs.750-735.
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Britannia Long 486 500 14
 
 

Today's Trades

 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Tata Mot Fut 233 238 5
Tata Mot 240 CE 8.3 6.4 -1.9
CNX IT Fut 6106 6105 1
JSW Steel  698 687 11
 

 

Nifty Medium Term Trend 

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 07/08/20122
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5448
Reversal if closes below 5180
 
 

Thought for the day 

 
A person often meets his destiny on the road he took to avoid it.
 
 
 
 
 
 

Thursday, 30 August 2012

 

Market update for 31/08/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 


Today's trading session was highly volatile particularly in last one hour because of FnO expiry. Nifty made a low of 5255 and bounced back. It closed at 5315 up by 27 points. Major support for Nifty exists at 5250 and resistance at 5350. The broader range of the Nifty is expected to be between 5220-5350.
 
The sentiment of the traders may be bearish but the chart structure shows that Nifty will get lot of supports in the range 5250-5200. Moreover many index companies are at important support levels. Unless some major negative event happens Nifty is not going to break 5250-5200. If 5200 is breached next target will be at 5000.
 
Nifty has recovered from the day's low of 5255 if Nifty reaches 5350 then short can be initiated and stop loss will be closing above 5350.


Nifty weekly chart




The chart structure of Nifty is clearly visible in weekly chart. You can see in the chart that at 5250 there are multiple support and resistance is at 5440 which defines the broader range of market.


Chart of the day

 

Crude Oil

 


The overall trend of the crude oil is up. But the momentum is slowing down and technical indicators like RSI and MACD are showing a possible down trend in short term. Crude oil may come down to 5250 level which is the lower part of the channel.

 

Nifty Medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 07/08/20122
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5448
Reversal if closes below 5180
 
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Britannia Long 486 488 2
 

Positions squared off

 
 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Bank Nifty Sept 10100 PE 2 Lots  160 240 160
Bank Nifty sep 10200 CE 1 Lot 240 143 -97
 
 

Intraday Trades

 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Tata Motors 232 237 5
 
 

Thought for the day

 
Don't handicap your children by making their lives easy.
 
 

Wednesday, 29 August 2012


Market updates for 30/08/2012

 

Nifty Daily Chart

 
 
Nifty has once again closed in red by closing at 5287 down by 46 points. The trend of the index is down and it is likely to test 5250-5200. Nifty has a short term support at 5280 and important  resistance  are 5350-5400. The trading strategy should be sell on peaks as long as Nifty is below 5350.
 

Chart of the day

 

REC

 
 
 
 
REC has a major support at Rs.189. If it closes below this level then the short term targets are Rs.180-175. Wait for the breakout.

 

Nifty Medium Term Trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 07/08/20122
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5448
Reversal if closes below 5180
 
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Bank Nifty Sept 10100 PE 2 Lots  Long 160 221 122
Bank Nifty Sept 10200 CE 1 Lot Long 240 159 -81
Britannia Long 486 488 2
 
 

Today's Trades

 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
McDowell 962 978 16
Rel Cap Sept Fut 323 330 7
 
 

Squared off Position

 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Nifty Sept 5300 PE 63 79 16
 
 

Thought for the day

 
You don't need anybody to tell you who you are or what you are . You are what you are.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Tuesday, 28 August 2012

 

Market update for 29/08/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 

 
As expected Nifty has closed below 5350 which is an  entry point for initiating short in Nifty. It was a highly volatile session and till the end it was difficult to say whether Nifty will close above 5350 or below 5350 as  3 unsuccessful attempts were made to reach 5350. MACD is indicating downtrend and  expected short term targets for Nifty are 5300-5250-5220. As long as Nifty is below 5350 long position should not be initiated. 

Chart of the day

 

Rel Cap

 
 
 
Reliance Capital has breached important support level at Rs. 330 and closed at Rs. 328.20. It is expected to go down further.
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 07/08/20122
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5448
Reversal if closes below 5180
 
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Bank Nifty sep 10100 PE 2 Lots  Long 160 204 88
Bank Nifty sep 10200 CE 1 Lot Long 240 180 -60
Britannia Long 486 489 3
Nifty Sep 5300 PE Long 63 64 1
 
 

Thought for the day

 
We make a living by what we get but we make a life by what we give.
 
 
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