Tuesday 19 June 2012

Market Update for 20/06/2012

 

Nifty Hourly Chart



                                                     

Nifty has managed to bounce back from the intermediate support at 5047 and closed at 5103 up by 39 points. Now Nifty is expected to touch 5143 which is upper part of the range.  If Nifty sustains above 5143 then we can expect a target of 5200 and above. Market can remain choppy as RBI policy is behind us. The short term reversal of the trend can happen if Nifty sustains below 5047.


Nifty Daily Chart




Nifty is trading between 5050 to 5150 from few trading sessions. Whenever an Index or Stock trades in a range one day there will optimism in the market and next day pessimism. So traders should wait for breakout from the range before carrying the positions. The short term trend of Nifty will be up until it is above 5000.

Charts of the day


Infosys Ltd




Today short in Infy was recommended to traders. The reason behind this is Infy was in uptrend from 2351 levels and it made a high of 2543. In this rally it formed a ascending channel. The peaks of the channel are 2463 and 2543 and bottoms are at 2393, 2418, 2473. Now in hourly chart this channel is broken and Infy is expected to reach Rs.2445-2430 and below and reversal is above Rs. 2500.

Bank of Baroda



In today's session BoB is one of the losers in Banking sector. BoB is down by 1.2% and closed at Rs.669.60. In the above mentioned daily chart you can observe that it has closed right at the trend line. Its a make or break situation. MACD is showing a sell indication and there is every possibility that BoB can give a downside breakout. If it closes below Rs.669 for a day then the expected target is Rs.639 and reversal will be above Rs.Rs.674.

Open Positions

Scrip Type Qty  Price CMP P/L
Havells Long 150 545 539 -900
SBIN 2100 PE Long 125 69 45.95 -2875
SBIN 2000 PE Short 125 26 14.5 1437
Infy fut Short 125 2472 2488 -2000
Infy 2500 CE Long 125 28 34 750


Today's Trade 


Scrip Qty Buy Price Sell Price P/L
SBIN 2100 PE 125 69    
SBIN 2000 PE 125 26  
Bank Nifty Fut 25 9600 9760 4000
Bank Nifty 9800 CE 25 90 156 -1650
Infy fut 125 2472    
Infy 2500 CE 125 28    


Nifty Medium Term View


Trend  Up
Date 12/06/2012
Initiated at  5116
Reversal if closes above 4880


Thought for the day


  "I try to buy stock in businesses that are so wonderful that an idiot can run them. Because sooner or later, one will." - Warren Buffett






There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. what you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. when you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like ‘right’ and ‘wrong’ or ‘win’ and ‘lose’ no longer have the same significance. As a result, your expectations will be in harmony with the possibilities.
- Mark Douglas: ‘Trading in the Zone’