Monday 2 July 2012

Market update for 03/07/2012


Nifty Hourly Chart




The market was range bound and closed flat at 5278 down by 0.30 points!!. Banks, capital goods and realty were gainers . FMCG were biggest losers of the day.
After a major rally on Friday’s trading session market is consolidating getting ready for next move. Overall trend remains up. Today Nifty has touched 5300 levels and 5400 is the next level to watch for. This is a buy on dip market and if Nifty comes down to 5200 levels it should be considers as an opportunity to take long positions in Nifty and high beta stocks.
Option buyers have a lesson to learn here. Nifty 5200 CE is down by 6% and 5300 CE is down by 8%. The value of the option premium tend to diminish if Index or stock doesn’t move for a given period of time. Traders should understand that this is not a debate about which is better ( buying option or writing option , buying option or future) but this is only an observation.

Nifty Daily Chart



Until Nifty is above 100 DMA that is 5184 no worry for bulls at all. If Nifty closes below 5184 then it can test 200 DMA at 5080.
Today’s candle stick pattern is called as ‘Doji’. It is formed on the chart when open and close are almost equal. Doji convey a sense of indecision between buyers and sellers. However market will overcome  this indecision session sooner or later and there is every possibility that Nifty will continue towards 5400.

Chart of the day

 

 

M& M was consolidating between the range 680-710 and today it has come out of the range. But it is unable to cross 200 DMA at Rs.715. If M&M closes above Rs.715 then the target will be Rs. 735-748 and above. Stop loss below Rs.700.


 Open Positions


Scrip Type Qty  Price CMP P/L
Yes Bank Long 65 340.5 344.4 253.5
Tata Mot Long 100 245.5 238 -750
SBIN Long 40 2185 2181 -160

 


Today's Trade


Scrip Qty Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Hero Motoco 65 2127 2130 195
SBIN 40 2185    
Jubl Food 66 1184 1216 2112

 

Nifty Medium Term Trend


Trend  Up
Initiation Date 12/06/2012
Initiated at  5116
High since change 5280
Reversal if closes below 5020

Thought for the day

"Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." - Warren Buffett