Saturday, 4 August 2012


Accept Losses

One of the most important quality of a successful trader is the ability to accept losses and to take them promptly. Perhaps the single greatest downfall of all traders is the inability to take a loss when it should be taken. Losses have a nasty habit of becoming worse rather better. Unless they are taken when they should be , the results will not be to your liking.

Although it is easier on one hand for a day trader to take loss than a positional trader (since a loss must be accepted by the end of the trading day ) , it is still the downfall of many futures traders who are unwilling to accept the loss when it is a reasonable one. The good futures trader must have the ability to take a loss when the time to take that loss is right. What’s right is dictated by particular trading system or  risk management technique you are using. From my experience is perhaps percent or more of all losses are due to not taken losses when they are small or relatively small or when they should be taken.

I can certainly speak from experience when I say that my largest loss resulted from the fact that I refused to take the loss when the time was right . I allowed a $500 loss to turn into a $5000 loss. Fortunately that was the first and last time I was guilty of that serious transgression.

Here are some suggestions as to how to improve your ability to take loses when they should be taken :


1. Formulate your stop loss rules specifically whether they relate to  system or specific risk amount and type or write your rules in large print and place a hard copy near your trading place and refer then frequently.

2.Makee the commitment to accept completely your next ten losses as dictated by your system . Once you have done this , the behavior will become habitual and losses will be easier to accept.

3.If you trade with a full service broker make him aware that of where your stop loss will be and ask him to remind you.

4. Place your stop loss as soon as your entry order has been filled.

Source : Market Masters written by Jake Bernstein.




Friday, 3 August 2012

After Noon Market update




As per hourly chart Nifty spot is taking support at 50 HMA. It may bounce back to 5210 and once breakout above 5210 the target could be 5250. Formation of one or two candles below 5170 is very much important for continuation of the fall.

Thursday, 2 August 2012

Market updates for 03/08/2012


Nifty hourly chart




Today's trading session was a choppy trading session. Nifty moved in a narrow range of 30 points.
Nifty has come out  of the raising wedge formation and traded below 5220.  New long positions can be considered only if it sustains above 5250. Indicators  like RSI and MACD are indicating sell and possibility of Nifty moving towards 5150 has increased.  


Nifty daily chart




Nifty is consolidating in a narrow range from past three trading sessions. 5210-5250 is the trading range. Do not take any position in Nifty until it breaks the range.If Nifty closes below 5200 then it can come down to 100 DMA which is at 5145. Above 5250 Nifty can reach 5300.

Chart of the day

 

Tata Motors




Tata Motors is one of the top gainers in recent times. It made a bottom at Rs.203 and bounced back to Rs.229. Tata Motors has been forming lower top and lower bottom from last few months and it can bullish if it closes above Rs.237 which is 200 DMA.

The uptrend in Tata Motors has come to a temporary halt since it has reached a descending trend line drawn by joining Rs.317-309-247. Today Tata Motors closed at Rs.222.7 down by 2% indicating that trend line is acting as strong resistance. Continuation in uptrend can be expected if Tata Motors closes above Rs.228.

Open Positions

Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
SBI Long 2015 2011 -4
Rel Infra Long 507 510.35 2
Tata Mot 220 PE Long 7.5 7 -0.5

Today's Trade


Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Tata Mot 220 PE 7.5    

Nifty Medium Term Trend


Trend  Down
Initiation Date 26/07/2012
Initiated at  5043
Low since change 5043
Reversal if closes above 5283


 

Thought for the day

We are what we repeatedly do . Excellence , is then , not an act but habit.





Wednesday, 1 August 2012

Market update for 02/08/2012


Nifty hourly chart




Nifty has continued uptrend by closing at 5240 up by 11 points. Since Nifty has recovered from 5050 levels with in 2-3 trading sessions the momentum has reduced .

In the hourly chart you can see that Nifty has formed raising wedge formation and the trading range is reducing. Nifty can breakout of the range in 1 or 2 trading sessions and the possibility of upward breakout is more than lower breakout. Short term targets are 5258-5300 and reversal can happen if Nifty sustains below 5220.

Nifty daily chart




My view about  Nifty daily chart will remain  same. 5300 could be the peak and Nifty may start falling from 5300. Traders can short Nifty at 5300 levels. If Nifty closes above 5300 book loss and exit the position.

Chart of the day


Zinc




Daily chart of Zinc is a very interesting one. It explains the importance of trend lines from point of view of executing low risk entries.

Zinc is facing strong resistance at Rs..104 levels. It has major support at Rs.101.80. If this support is breached then we can expect a target of Rs.99. So wait for close below Rs.101.8 and take short stop loss should closing above Rs.102. 

Open Positions


Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
SBI Long 2015 2033 18
Rel Infra Long 507 509 2

 

Today's Trade


Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Tata Steel 406 408 2
Nifty 5300 CE 53 63 10
Rel Infra 507    
*Tata Steel Trailing SL triggered


Nifty Medium Term Trend


Trend  Down
Initiation Date 26/07/2012
Initiated at  5043
Low since change 5043
Reversal if closes above 5283

 

Thought for the day 

Be strong NOW because things will get better.It may be stormy now , but it can't rain forever.







Tuesday, 31 July 2012

Market update for 01/08/2012


Nifty hourly chart




Today's trading session was very volatile as RBI has announced monetary policy. Repo , Reverse Repo and CRR are unchanged but SLR ( Statutory Liquidity Ratio) was reduced http://lastbull.com/what-is-statutory-liquidity-ratio-slr/. Interest rate sensitive sectors like Banks , Auto and Real Estate were highly volatile and many companies in this sector have closed in  green. Nifty closed with moderate gain at 5229 up by 29 points. Short term  trend remains up and the expected targets are 5250-5300.

 

Nifty daily chart



Nifty has maintained it uptrend after breaking out of the range. Oscillator like stochastics is showing that  uptrend will continue for some more time. Nifty has the potential to test the trend line at 5300. Start booking profit from 5250 and Nifty may face selling pressure at 5300.

Chart of the day


Nifty Monthly Chart





Today was the last trading day of this month so I thought of adding Nifty monthly chart. Nifty is trading within a triangle and this is clearly visible in monthly chart.  The trading range of Nifty in the month of July was between 5079-5350. If  we connect 5628-5350 we arrive at a trend line which is nothing but upper part of the triangle. My anticipation for the month of August is that Nifty may reach 5300 and in best case scenario it may move up to 5400 .After reaching these levels it may drift down towards 5000 once again.

Open Positions


Scrip Type Qty  Price CMP P/L
Tata Steel Long 100 406 414.5 850
Nifty 5300 CE Long 50 53 59 300
SBI Long 25 2015 2005 -250


Today's Trade


Scrip Qty Buy Price Sell Price P/L
SBI 25 2015    


Nifty Medium Term Trend


Trend  Down
Initiation Date 26/07/2012
Initiated at  5043
Low since change 5043
Reversal if closes above 5283


Thought for the day


They always say time changes things , but you actually have to change them yourself.