Thursday, 18 October 2012


Market updates for 19/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 
 
 
Nifty has made a sharp bounce back from yesterday's close. In today's trading session it gained 58 points and closed at 5718 . Today's rally was mainly led by banking sector. But Nifty has closed within trading range 5630-5720. Sustainable breakout above 5720 is required to consider long positions.
 

Charts of the day 

 

Bank Nifty

 
 
 
Till yesterday Bank Nifty was trading within 11500-11300. Today it has closed at 11586 which is a breakout. Now it is expected to reach 11750 in short term.
 

Yes Bank

 
 
 
Day before yesterday Yes Bank lost around 3% and formed a large red candle. It closed below trend line support , 20 DMA. Momentum indicators are showing possible downtrend. Now the trend line was acting as support is acting as resistance. Stop loss for short will be close above Rs.397.
 

Zinc

 
 
 
Zinc took support at Rs.99.50 and bounced back. RSI is over sold and 99.50 will be the bottom. We have created long position around Rs.100.5 and 1 st target is Rs.102.50.
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5763 -58
Nifty 5700 Oct CE Long 48 62 14
Yes Bank Fut Short 387 392 -5
 

Thought for the day

 
If you judge people , you have no time to love them - Mother Teresa
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Wednesday, 17 October 2012


Market updates for 18/10/2012

 

Bank Nifty

 
 
Consolidation has continued to happen in major index like Nifty , Bank Nifty as well as in individual stocks. Another 5 trading sessions are left for expiry and I don't think that we can see breakout on either side.
 
Above is the chart of Bank Nifty. Here consolidation is happening between 11300-11500. Sustainable close below 11300 will reach 11100 in short term.
 

Chart of the day

 
 
Reliance was unable to hold the trend line support and yesterday it has closed below trend line. Now it is likely to move towards Rs.760 in medium term.
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5692 13
Nifty 5700 Oct CE Long 48 31 -17
Yes Bank Fut Short 387 387.7 -0.7
 

 

Thought for the day

 
The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Tuesday, 16 October 2012


Market updates for 17/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 
 
Today Nifty has made a low of 5635 and closed at 5648 down by 39 points. So we are still in consolidation phase and 5630-5720 is the range. Momentum indicators are showing possible downward movement towards 5500 once 5630 is breached. Wait for breakout.
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5679 26
Nifty 5700 Oct CE Long 48 30 -18
 

 

Thought for the day

 
Stop worrying about pot holes on the road and celebrate the journey.
 
 

Monday, 15 October 2012


Market updates for 16/10/2012

Nifty daily chart



Nifty has continued to consoildate in a narrow range. After facing resistance at 5720 logically it would have reached 5630 in a day or two. Today's closing was at 5687 up by 11 points. Close above 5720 will take Nifty to 5800 within few trading sessions. 

Reliance Industries



Even though Reliance has closed below support at Rs.824 it has taken trend line support. Now it has the potential to bounce back towards Rs. 850. 

Nifty medium term trend

Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580  


Open positions

Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5733 -28
Nifty 5700 Oct CE Long 48 58 10


Positions squared off


Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Bank Nifty Fut 11422 11323 99
Bank Nifty 11400 PE 204 130 -74

 

Thought for the day

 
 If we don't change we don't grow. If we don't grow we are not really living.





Sunday, 14 October 2012


Market updates for 15/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 


 As expected Nifty is facing resistance at 5720 . On Friday Nifty made a high of 5725 but face selling pressure and closed at 5676. Trading range is between 5630-5720. Breakout may happen on downside. 

 

Nifty weekly chart

 
 
 
For 2 consecutive weeks Nifty is unable to close above 5740 on weekly basis. Closing above this level is very much necessary to continue the uptrend. As Nifty is facing resistance at 5740 we can say that this will be the peak of uptrend from 5030 and Nifty can fall to he levels of 5500 before starting another cycle of uptrend.
 
 
 
 
Fibonacci retracement is drawn from 5034 to 5815 in weekly chart. 23.6% retracement is around 5630 once Nifty closes below this level we can expect a target of 5520. Reversal of the trend will be close above 5820.
 

Chart of the day

 

Dow Jones

 

 
After breakout from 13300 DJIA made a high of 13650. Now resistance at 13300 is acting as support. If DJIA breaks this level then it ca go down till 12900. So far Nifty has rallied because of domestic events and the momentum has slowed. Now we need to see whether it follows global market.


Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 

 

Open positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Bank Nifty Fut Short 11422 11417 5
Bank Nifty 11400 PE Long 204 178 -26
 
 

Thought for the day

 
Nature , time , patience are three great physicians.