Thursday, 7 March 2013

Updates on Nifty and Financial Technology


Nifty



In one of the earlier post it was mentioned that Nifty will start short term uptrend if it closes above 5830. Since it has closed above this level it has started uptrend and hence the theory of Nifty falling down to 5500 is not applicable for time being. MACD in daily chart is indicating uptrend and Nifty is likely to continue its uptrend for some more time.

ICICI Bank , HDFC Bank , IDFC , LT are some of the companies which have started uptrend from yesterday's and today's session. We are long in Nifty and ICICI Bank.

Financial Technology



Financial technology is one of the top loser in recent times. It has corrected nearly 400 points from peak. In technical terms it has completed 61.8% in weekly chart which is called golden ratio and RSI is over sold . There is every possibility that Rs.800 will be the bottom of Financial technology.

Nifty medium term trend


Trend  DOWN
Initiation Date 29-11-12
Initiated at  5761
Low since change 5692
Reversal if closes below 5990


Thought for the day


He who knows the enemy and himself will never in a hundred battles be at the risk - Sun Tzu

Let us compare this to trading - A trader who knows the market (it could be enemy for those who lost fortune because of Ego,fear,greed,hope and ignorance but not otherwise) which means the price behaviour , pattern , possible traps , risks involved and himself which means size of capital , psychological qualities like risk appetite , patience , tolerance , boldness etc may lose a few trades but will not end up in losing fortune. Does it make sense ??



Develop the Habits to Drive Your Trading Success

Has this happened to you as it did to Harvey? His eyes were at half-mast as he could barely focus on the chart staring back at him from the computer screen. He felt very tired like he had weights on his arms, and his mind was foggy. But, what was quite clear is that he had lost again.  Harvey’s anger began to rise through the fog as he asked the question, which fell like a dead weight on the silence around him; “…Why do I always lose in the morning?  It’s as if the markets were looking over my shoulder and they just wait till I enter then go in the other direction.”  So, here he was again, as he started his day out as he had many times before.  He would hit the snooze button a few times, then stumble out of bed and head for the coffeemaker.  Afterwards, he would stagger straight for his computer to turn on his trading platform.  Oh, he would take a quick look at the market news as well, after turning on his T.V.  Of course, he did attempt to look over his watch list and bring up a few charts before deciding on what he would play.  But so often, his choice of set-up came not from his homework, but from something he had heard in one of the chat-rooms or had seen from one of the news show talking heads.  Harvey’s body was reeling, his head was beginning to hurt and in addition to his anger, he felt completely out of sorts.
“Why is this continuing to happen?” he thought.  How do I turn this craziness around?
Harvey had habits, but they were not habits that served him.  He needed to bring his “A” Game to the platform in order to access and activate his internal resources.  For example, he needed a clear mind supported by an appropriate blood sugar level, a hydrated body so that his internal physiological system communicated cellular information efficiently, a focused intention that came from being centered and grounded and an emotionally stable demeanor that was connected to confidence.  Additionally, he needed to be aligned in body, mind, and emotions in order to ward off the conflicts that could and would enter into his system.  It was important for him to form a powerful morning routine that was designed to support his “internal data” meaning his thinking, emotions and behavior; and a routine that was also designed to support his “mechanical data” that is, the market information, news, charts, and indicators.  Yes, Harvey was out-of-control, but he would go a long way to getting back in control if he created a routine that he could follow, which would after a short while habituate and set the stage for building his skill levels.
Routines are powerful habit formers and if you identify a routine for the beginning of your trading session, you will create a support mechanism for optimal ability to “see” the reality of the price action and the order flow.  Of course, some of you might say, “I’m not willing to do all that. I’m ready to trade.”  Well, my question to you would be, how important is your trading?  Is it only for excitement and entertainment?  If so, then why not just go to the casino – at least there you get free drinks.  Or, are you serious about being successful?  That doesn’t mean that you don’t or cannot enjoy the art of trading; it just means that in large measure your enjoyment comes from trading masterfully and going as far as you can with all the tools and expertise that you’ve got.
Here is a powerful regimen that will benefit your entire system (mind, body and spirit) greatly.  And, anything that supports your entire system will support your capacity and ability to accurately read what the markets are saying.
  • At the beginning of your day, drink a large glass (8 – 16 ounces) of water in order to hydrate your system.  Humans are 95% water and your cells require water in order to communicate effectively and maintain electrolyte, neurotransmitter, hormone and other electro-magnetic and electro-chemical balance in your body.
  • Start your day with exercise. Energize your system, oxygenate your bloodstream and get the cobwebs out of your brain and body. This does not have to be strenuous and in fact it can be just 10 to 20 minutes of calisthenics and stretching.  Truly, if you haven’t experienced the natural high that comes from a consistent period of first-thing-in-the-morning bodywork, then you’re in for a treat.  It is a thriving and revitalizing experience that leaves you glowing and confident for the day, ready to take on the challenges that await you.
  • Try a meditative session to ground you in a relaxed and aligned state in order to be available, patient and focused with intention.  By sitting still and focusing on your breath, you can ease any residual tension and center your system by focusing on being proactive, resolute and attentive to what matters most.
  • Eat a light nutritious breakfast, and drink juices and/or herbal tea to maintain focus and mental strength.  Eating is very important to incorporate and maintain proper minerals, vitamins and nutrients in the bloodstream for sugar balance, and brain function.  Your energy level needs to be high for prolonged and intense mental work, whether for an hour or several hours of market participation.
  • Review your Plan and Trading Rules to keep them fresh in your mind.  Keep hard copies of them on your desk for easy reference while in the trading trenches.  It is vital that you are familiar with your trading plan and rules intimately.  You can’t follow a rule you have forgotten.
  • Do your homework, whatever supports your style and trading strategy.  The point is to “do it.”
  • Go through your daily trading strategy “out loud.”  This has a way of flushing out distortions.  Look at the charts you are planning to use.  Identify the play you are going to make, and describe the rationale with entry, target, time frame and exit.  You will be surprised at how the trade “sounds,” and in fact, new perceptions of the trade may present themselves to either clarify and strengthen your confidence or shake you out of the dream that caused you to see something that wasn’t really there.
  • Then take a deep breath and enjoy becoming one with the price action and order flow.  Remember, patience is a key ingredient to both seeing things as they are and waiting until the trade comes to you; don’t chase the trades.
The example routine in the above is a powerful prototype for addressing both your “mechanical data” and your “internal data.”  It’s not enough to prepare only for the mechanical data (the market information, the news, the charts and/or the technical data associated with the movement of price).  You must also prepare your internal data (thinking, emotional stability and behavioral follow-through) if you want to have any chance of bringing your “A” Game to your platform.  Make sure that when you turn on your computer and pull up your trading screen, you are ready and prepared to access and activate all of your internal and external resources to bear on what you are doing.  Trading is arguably the single most difficult business venture on the planet and whether you think you are or not, you will express yourself when in the markets.  Every blemish, character flaw and or weakness in your personality will be challenged, called out and severely tested when you put yourself at risk in the markets.   So, trade by design not by default by learning and using mental and emotional tools to consistently trade “as” a winner.  In the Extended Learning Track Mastering the Mental Game, we show you how to prepare your “A” Game for the markets and to maintain and sustain it while you are trading.  Also, ask your Online Trading Academy Educational Counselor for more information about the Online Mastering the Mental Game Course.  And, you may want to read my book; “From Pain to Profit: Secrets of the Peak Performance Trader” as well.

Happy Trading.
Dr.Woody Jhonson
Instructor , OTA

Wednesday, 6 March 2013

Updates on Tata Motors and SBI


Tata Motors



In one of the last posts it was indicated that Tata Motors is trading between 285-310. It was also said that breakout below Rs.285 will lead to fall towards Rs.265. But now Tata Motors has once again bounced back from support level. As you can see in the above chart it has made multiple peaks at Rs.310. This is once again a make or break situation if it breaks Rs.310 it can reach previous peak that is Rs.330.


SBI



SBI has bounced back from trend line support. It has just started its uptrend and it will be in up trend as long as it is above Rs.2115.


Nifty medium term trend


Trend  DOWN
Initiation Date 29-11-12
Initiated at  5761
Low since change 5692
Reversal if closes below 5990


Thought for the day

 

A man may fall many times, but he won’t be a failure until he says that someone pushed him .



Tuesday, 5 March 2013

Technical Updates on Bank Nifty



Bank Nifty had multiple peaks at 11660. Day before yesterday it had closed below this level which indicated down trend. But now short term uptrend has once again resumed. Since RSI is over sold this is low is low risk entry. We have initiated long in futures.

Nifty medium term trend


Trend  DOWN
Initiation Date 29-11-12
Initiated at  5761
Low since change 5692
Reversal if closes below 5990





Tired all the time??

To achieve the impossible dream, try going to sleep...Joan Klempner

Having trouble sleeping these days? You aren't alone. The National Sleep Foundation's recent study shows that some 30% of the U.S. population reports sleep disturbances. These include challenges with falling asleep, staying asleep or early-morning wakening with inability to get back to sleep. Chronic sleep deprivation is a widespread public health problem, related to health issues such as obesity, cardiovascular problems, and memory disturbances. In 2011, there were nearly 57,000,000 prescriptions written for sleep meds. That's 57 million! In his book "Sleep Thieves," Dr. Stanley Coren says that lack of sleep is causing us to be "clumsy, stupid, unhappy and dead."

The commonest reported cause for insomnia is stress, and financial stress is highest on the list. For many people living through tough economic times, financial stress is increasing, and causing a vicious cycle where stress causes sleep problems that lead to more stress. The phrase Tired All The Time (TAAT) is slipping into the medical vernacular. We are working harder, longer, getting paid less, eating poorly and exercising less. To capitalize on TAAT, a company called MetroNaps has set up shop in several countries to provide naps or "sleep pods" to stressed-out workers. Sleep clinics are popping up all over the country as more people seek answers to why they can't sleep.

Traders are notorious for having bad sleep habits. Many stay up into the early hours of the morning watching, studying or trading overnight, then struggling to stay awake during the day to trade the regular session. To trade well and consistently, it is critical to get good sleep, including adequate amounts of dream (REM- Rapid Eye Movement) sleep. Stable mental health correlates directly adequate REM sleep, since it has been shown that REM deprivation leads to anxiety, depression and behavioral disturbances. Tired traders do not trade well, make numerous mistakes and have increased anxiety and depression.

Some tips for traders to help with sleep-related issues:


  • Limit xanthine intake (coffee, tea, caffeinated soft drinks) to two cups a day and avoid these for at least six hours prior to sleep
  • Take flower teas (chamomile, valerian) to help with relax you before sleep
  • Exercise in the morning or early evening and not less than three hours prior to sleep
  • Develop a standard relaxing bedtime routine, including going to sleep at the same time each night
  • Make your bedroom a quiet, peaceful place that is dark, cool, quiet and comfortable
  • Remove all electronic equipment from your bedroom, including computers, cell phones, televisions and lighted clocks
  • Learn how to "power nap"
  • Practice yoga or meditation for 10-20 minutes prior to sleep
  • Avoid self-medication with alcohol. You may fall asleep more quickly, but will likely suffer from very early-morning awakening and anxiety as unintended consequences
  • Consult your medical professional help if sleep difficulties persist for more than one month.


There is a time for many words, and there is also a time for sleep...Homer, The Odyssey

-       Janice Drone  MD Phd