Monday, 29 October 2012


Market updates for 30/10/2012

 

Bank Nifty daily chart

 
 
Bank Nifty was facing resistance at 11520 . It  made a breakout and reached a peak of 11650. But this breakout was not sustained and it has again closed below 11520. Now the possibility of reaching 11300 is high. MACD is indicating down trend and RSI shows that there is a room for correction. Tomorrow RBI is announcing monetary policy so traders should watch out for Bank Nifty.

 

Chart of the day 

 

Rel Capital

 
 
Rel Capital was consolidating between the range 460-435 and before 2 days it has broken this range. We have initiated short at Rs.419. Expected 1st target is around Rs.400.

 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5706 -1
Nifty 5700 Nov CE Long 117 94 -23
SBI Nov Fut Short 2219 2182 37
SBI Nov 2200 CE  Long 91 72 -19
 

 

Thought for the day

 
Security is mostly a superstition. It doesn't exist in nature, nor do the children of men as a whole experience it. Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run that outright exposure. Life is either daring adventure or nothing. - Helen Keller
 
 
 
 
 
 

Sunday, 28 October 2012

 

Market updates for 29/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 


Nifty has continued to consolidate within a narrow range between 5630-5720. Nifty shut shop at 5664 down by 41 points.Short term trend of Nifty will remain down as long as it is below Rs.5720.
 

Nifty weekly chart 

 
 
 
Nifty is consolidating from past 4 weeks. If it closes below 5630 then it may reach support at ascending trend line (marked in red). So short term downtrend can be limited to the extent of 5550.
On the other hand weekly close above 5740 can take Nifty to 5820-5920.
 

Chart of the day

 

SBI

 
 
 
SBI has broken out of the consolidation between 2200-2280. We have initiated short at Rs.2220 and partial profit booked at Rs.2177.Further fall is expected.
 
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Thought for the day

 
He who things he knows , doesn't know. He who knows that he doesn't know , knows. - Loa Tze
 
 
 

Tuesday, 23 October 2012


Market updates for 24/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 
 
The stale mate in Nifty has continued for 11th trading session. Nifty is again and again testing 5720 but unable to break it.In this series Nifty may expire around 5700. If Nifty closes above 5720 then the targets are 5750-5800. On the other had if it closes below 5630 expected targets are 5600-5550-5500.
 
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5735 -30
Nifty 5700 Nov CE Long 117 116 -1
 

 

Positions Squared off

 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Yes Bank Fut 387 399 -12
 
 
 

Sunday, 21 October 2012


Market updates for 22/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 


Nifty has once again closed below 5720 and this time closing was at 5684. I don't know when Nifty is going to come out of the range but if the breakout happens on downside it is likely to take at least an intermediary  trend line support at 5600 (indicated in black colour). The range of consolidation is around 90 points so possible target after breakout will be either 5540 or 5810.

 

Nifty weekly chart

 

 
Weekly chart of Nifty clearly indicates the resistance at 5740 which was not beached on closing basis. Major support is around 5500 and this level can change as the time progress. We cannot expect major upside rally unless Nifty closes above 5740 on weekly basis. RSI is overbought from many weeks and there is a chance of short term minor correction.



 
Currently Nifty has taken support around 5630 which is 23.6% retracement of the rally from 5034-5820. Close below this level can take Nifty to 5514-5420 which are 38.2% and 50% respectively.

 

Chart of the day

 

Jet Airways

 
 
Jet Airways has made a breakout from triangle formation.Now the first target is Rs.342.
 
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open Positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5716 -11
Nifty 5700 Nov CE Long 117 112 -5
Yes Bank Fut Short 387 385 2
 

 

Positions squared off

 
Scrip Buy Price Sell Price P/L
Nifty 5700 Oct CE 48 49 1
 
 
 

Thought for the day

 
We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence , then  , is not an act , but habit. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Thursday, 18 October 2012


Market updates for 19/10/2012

 

Nifty daily chart

 
 
 
Nifty has made a sharp bounce back from yesterday's close. In today's trading session it gained 58 points and closed at 5718 . Today's rally was mainly led by banking sector. But Nifty has closed within trading range 5630-5720. Sustainable breakout above 5720 is required to consider long positions.
 

Charts of the day 

 

Bank Nifty

 
 
 
Till yesterday Bank Nifty was trading within 11500-11300. Today it has closed at 11586 which is a breakout. Now it is expected to reach 11750 in short term.
 

Yes Bank

 
 
 
Day before yesterday Yes Bank lost around 3% and formed a large red candle. It closed below trend line support , 20 DMA. Momentum indicators are showing possible downtrend. Now the trend line was acting as support is acting as resistance. Stop loss for short will be close above Rs.397.
 

Zinc

 
 
 
Zinc took support at Rs.99.50 and bounced back. RSI is over sold and 99.50 will be the bottom. We have created long position around Rs.100.5 and 1 st target is Rs.102.50.
 

Nifty medium term trend

 
Trend  UP
Initiation Date 08-07-12
Initiated at  5336
High since change 5815
Reversal if closes below 5580
 
 

Open positions

 
Scrip Type  Price CMP P/L
Nifty Nov Fut Short 5705 5763 -58
Nifty 5700 Oct CE Long 48 62 14
Yes Bank Fut Short 387 392 -5
 

Thought for the day

 
If you judge people , you have no time to love them - Mother Teresa