Technical updates on Nifty and Bank Nifty

Nifty monthly chart

Nifty has undergone deep cuts in last 3 trading session and this down fall may not stop so soon. Usually we the retail trader think that Nifty has corrected 400 points from the peak so it cannot fall further. But let us remember the fact that uptrend/downtrend can remain longer than expected time. From past two trading sessions I have been posting about possible correction and I hope you have utilized our trading hints in right way. 

Above mentioned is the monthly chart of Nifty. As you can see it has tested important resistance at 6100  and now it is falling. Major support is around 5250 !!( this level can change in later stages) I am not sure whether it is going to test this support zone. As of now trend is down , I will certainly let my readers know once the uptrend starts.By the way we have initiated  short in Nifty March Fut at 5809.

Bank Nifty monthly chart

Bank Nifty is over bought in monthly chart. Breakout from trend line has failed as once again it has fallen with in the trading zone. Diagonal trend line (blue color is the major support , If this support is breached major fall is expected. May god bless Bank Nifty.

Nifty medium term trend

Trend	DOWN
Initiation Date	29-11-12
Initiated at	5761
Low since change	5692
Reversal if closes below	5990

Thought for the day

There are only two days in the year
that nothing can be done.
One is called yesterday and
the other is called tomorrow,
so today is the right day to love,
believe, do and mostly live. - See more at: http://homeinsteaders.org/#sthash.hctyulD8.dpuf

There are only two days in the year
that nothing can be done.
One is called yesterday and
the other is called tomorrow,
so today is the right day to love,
believe, do and mostly live. - See more at: http://homeinsteaders.org/#sthash.hctyulD8.dpuf

 There are two days in a year that nothing can be done. One is called yesterday and other is called tomorrow. So today is the right day to love , live and believe. - Dalai Lama

 

Technical updates on Nifty

 

Nifty has made a sharp bounce back after yesterday's fall. But a bounce back of 35 points is not enough to change the trend. Short term trend will change only if it closes above 5875 which will be stop loss for short. 

 Nifty medium term trend

Trend	DOWN
Initiation Date	29-11-12
Initiated at	5761
High since change	5761
Reversal if closes below	5990

Thought for the day

Goliyonka samna karoonga azad hoon azad rahoonga - Chandrashekar Azad

Technical updates on Asian Paints

 

Asian Paints

 

 

Asian Paint had support at Rs.4490 and today this support is broken on closing basis. It is likely to fall further.

Nifty medium term trend

Trend	DOWN
Initiation Date	29-11-12
Initiated at	5761
High since change	5761
Reversal if closes below	5990

Last time our medium term trend indicator signalled long around 5800 and after that Nifty reached a peak of 6100. As per our indicator down trend has just started and it will continue as long Nifty is below 5990.  So technically this is not the time to consider long unless you have a mechanical method which indicates buy/sell. Lets see what our dear Finance Minister is going to do? 

We have continued to hold short in Bank Nifty which is initiated at 12700. Believe it or not!!

Thought for the day

 

There are hundreds of paths up the mountain, all leading to the same place, so it doesn’t matter which path you take.The only person wasting time is the one who runs around the mountain, telling everyone that his or her path is wrong - Hindu Proverb

 

Running water never grows stale. You have to keep on flowing...Bruce Lee (Martial Arts legend)

We are here during the rainy season to see water, but there is neither rain nor water. Instead, dust and grime cake the windows and seep through into our eyes and clothes. It's been over five hours and the rickety bus trundles and lurches through hairpin turns as it seems to climb almost vertically along the perilous Ethiopian mountain paths. Our grit-filled eyes peer through the windows for any sign of what we came for and yet there is nothing but more dirt and steep drop-offs. We have taken the risk, but where's the reward?

Suddenly, everything changes. Coming closer, yet still in the distance, is a huge white mushroom cloud that seems to appear from nowhere and grows larger as we approach. Our eyes don't burn as much; the grime doesn't seem to matter now as we are transfixed by this massive white haze. This is it!Blue Nile Falls. Smoking water. Tississat.

Over half a mile wide, it falls in a violent sheet that is barely visible under the thick shroud of haze. We move closer to it, straining to see the falls through the thick, steaming shroud. We live our lives in and of water, yet are amazed constantly by its majesty.

The source of the Blue Nile Falls is gentle, meandering Lake Tanat that flows through Ethiopia and The Sudan. We imagine it rolling softly and quietly for miles until-- in less than a minute-- it transforms into a raging cascade that churns wrenches and tumbles down the steep rocky crags. Then, just as quickly as it began this wild transformation, it again becomes quiet and meandering, flowing to its next destination.

Traders can learn a lot from Tississat and Tana. There are always going to be unexpected situations that threaten to send us tumbling headlong over the falls and into the abyss. This is the nature of uncertainty. Lake Tana survives by adapting to the ever-changing rhythms of nature-- the conditions in which it found itself. Traders survive by being adaptable, prepared for anything and going with the flow. As easy as this sounds, it is often not. Too many preconceived ideas about what the markets should or will do disturb the centering of mind needed to adapt. To approach the markets with an open mind, to be able to change course quickly and not be stuck in ego are hallmarks of successful traders. So many fail because they find themselves in the midst of a sudden state of disruption where they are not prepared to be carried downward with the raging waters.

Traders must stay with the flow of the markets, knowing that they can and will change character from day to day or moment to moment. Within complex adaptive systems such as nature or the markets, there are always going to be ups and downs, quiet times and violent movements. It is the task of the trader to stay steady, detached and adapt to the flow.

It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change...Author unknown, commonly misattributed to Charles Darwin

Janice Dorn, M.D., Ph.D.

If Kapas closes below Rs.932.00 major down fall expected!! Long position holders stay cautious. More details for subscribers.

Natural Gas has started uptrend. Trend will remain up as  long as it is above Rs.175.00. Buy on dips.