Tuesday 29 May 2012

Market Update for 30/05/2012


Nifty Hourly Chart



Today's trading session was quite and choppy trading session. There was some stock specific movements. SBI and JSW Steel were one of the top gainers. I  am glad that it was recommended at lower level. We are still holding it as more upside can be expected.

Coming back to Nifty hourly chart, the trend of Nifty is still up and 5037 should be achieved easily. Next target will be 5075 which is 200 DMA. If Nifty takes a dip because of profit booking or any other reason we may see the level of 4955 which was previous resistance. So short position can be considered only below 4955 or if someone wants to take a low risk entry short can be considered at 5075. Closing above 200 DMA that is 5075 should be the stop loss for short.

Nifty is overbought in hourly chart, however it can be in  overbought region some more time in a trending market.

Tata Motors Result Highlights

* Net profit for the quarter is Rs.6250 crores vs Rs. 2620 crores.
*Consolidated revenue increased to Rs.50,900 vs Rs.35300 crores up by 44%.
*200% dividend which is Rs.4 was declared.
*Operating profit margin is 14.60% vs 9.60%
*For the entire 2011-12 financial year, Tata Motors consolidated net profit went up by 45.75    percent to Rs 13,516.50 crore from Rs 9,273.62 crore in the previous fiscal.
*The consolidated net income in FY'12 stood at Rs 1,65,654.49 crore compared to Rs 1,22,127.92 crore in FY'11, up 35.64 percent.
*Tata Motors had sold a total of 9,26,353 units of passenger and commercial vehicles during 2011-12, registering a rise of 10.7 percent over the previous fiscal
*Tata Sons Deputy Chairman Cyrus P Mistry was inducted to the Tata Motors board as a Director.



Technically Tata motors had breached the descending trend line and made a high of Rs.283.10. But the breakout in hourly chart was not sustained for long and the stock price closed below the trend line at Rs. 275.75.

The results of Tata Motors is above estimates but we need to see how the market reacts. Tomorrow if it opens above Rs.285 then we can notice major upside rally in the stock price. Closing above Rs.277.50 will indicate a major reversal in the trend. Trailing stop loss will be updated periodically.

At the same time if it opens below Rs.267 then that will be the indication of downtrend. Wait for 10-15 mins after opening  before taking any decision.

Open Positions

Scrip Type Qty Buy Price CMP P/L
SBI Long 10 1907 2120 2130
Axis Bank Long 46 988 1024 1656
JSW Steel  Long 80 610 621.75 940
Nifty 5000 June CE Long 100 102.65 110 800
Nifty 4900 June PE Long 50 98.5 93 -250

* Trailing Stop loss for SBI 2040, Axis Bank Rs.999, JSW Steel Rs.597.00. Expected short term target for Nifty 5075.

 Results

Colgate, DLF,GAIL,Financial Tech,HDIL,Havells, JP Associates, Tata chem, Godrej Ind, RCF and others.

Thought for the day

How to become a successful trader ?
Know more than others but expect less than others. 

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